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Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Stolen Goods: Updated Expected Strikeouts Based On Pitch Result

Last year, DRays Bay released a formula which predicts (and confirms) strikeout rates of pitchers (and I suppose it could also apply to hitters).

The relevant formula:
K%=(ClStr%*.9)+(Foul%*.5)+(InPly%*-.9)+(InZSwStr%*1.1)+(OZSwStr%*1.5)

I'll update this post when I find a publicly available data source from which to obtain the necessary stats to input into the formula.

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