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Sunday, July 10, 2011

I'm At The 40/40 Club With Ryan Braun On The Screen

Currently there are only four players ever to be a part of the 40/40 Club (40 home runs and 40 stolen bases in a single season): Jose Conseco, Barry Bonds, Alex Rodriguez, and Alfonso Soriano. Soon after Soriano joined the club in 2006, it seemed that the next logical choice to join the club was Indians outfielder Grady Sizemore. Sizemore came the closest he has has ever been in 2008 when he hit 33 home runs and stole 38 bases. Sizemore's career seemed to be on the up and up and it seemed to be that if anyone could do it, Grady could. But injury and ineffectiveness derailed any chance the Indians outfielder had to go 40/40.

While it's extremely rare to be a part of this prestigious group and no one really expects or predicts anyone else to do it, I think Ryan Braun could be the next to do it.

In the first half of the 2011 season, Ryan Braun currently has 16 home runs and stole 19 bases. While he is not on pace to go 40/40 this year (he is on pace to hit 31 home runs and steal 37 bases), Braun's stolen base surge this year under new manager Ron Roenicke makes Braun look like Juan Pierre (2010 Pierre, not 2011 Pierre).

In Braun's past four seasons, the most bases he stole was 20 which was in 2009. Braun is clearly going to surpass his career high this year. And Braun has always been pretty successful and efficient when stealing bases. This year he is stealing bases at a 83% clip and has been successful 79% of the time in his career.

Along with his speed, Braun has always had the power potential to hit home runs. He set the rookie record for slugging percentage in 2007 and hit 37 home runs in his sophomore season. However since his sophomore season Braun's home run totals have been steadily declining (although he will make a huge bounce back this year barring any major setbacks) but I still believe in his raw power potential. Braun is only 27 years old and is now just entering into his prime. While I actually think hitting 40 home runs will be Braun's biggest obstacle, I have faith that he can do it (NOTE: Not that he WILL do it, but that he CAN do it).

If The Hebrew Hammer is allowed to run for the next few years like he has so far this season, then I think Braun can join the 40/40 club within the next few years.

Lastly, for those of you who do not understand the title reference, a bonus for you (see at 1:50)


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EDITORS NOTE: As the comments suggest I did mistakenly overlook Matt Kemp going 40/40 and he will probably do it this year but the main purpose of me writing this article was to showcase Braun's new found speed and Braun overall and using the 40/40 back drop as a McGuffin / I really love that line from Jay-Z and created an excuse to use it.

2 comments:

  1. how do you braun here without even mentioning matt kemp? he's on pace to do it this year! holler at ya boy.

    and full disclosure i'm all about braun.

    ReplyDelete

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