Showing posts with label Randy Moss. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Randy Moss. Show all posts
Best Randy Moss Quote Ever
No, it's not any 2010 rants about how he's not going to be a New England Patriot
Yes, I realize I'm like five years too late on this, but a buddy of mine put this up on his facebook page and it's so good and with Randy Moss in the news, I needed to post it.
Yes, I realize I'm like five years too late on this, but a buddy of mine put this up on his facebook page and it's so good and with Randy Moss in the news, I needed to post it.
Why I'm Starting Mike Williams Over Randy Moss
I'm in four fantasy football leagues, which means I essentially have every football player in the universe on one of my teams and means I'll face every player under the sun. In one ten team league I'm in, my top two wide receivers are Randy Moss and Roddy White. And in this league (starting three wide outs), I am not playing Randy Moss and I am benching him for Seattle's Mike Williams.
It's not that I'm super in love with Mike Williams, it's that I'm not going to start any deep threat against the Jets and Revis Island.
In this league I only have four wide outs (Devin Aromashodu along with White, Moss, and Williams) and I'm absolutely not starting Moss.
The logic I hear for starting Moss facing Revis (mainly from the Fantasy Focus podcast) is that Moss is still an awesome talent, I think he'll be a top 3 wide out at the end of the year, and I drafted Moss to do awesome things for my team. But you know what, all I care at the end of the day is the fantasy points a guy puts up for me. I don't care about name brand or the numbers I think a player will put up in the future when I'm doing a start and sit for each individual week. All I care about is how I think a player will perform in that particular week.
In 2009, the Patriots faced the Jets in Week Two in the Meadowlands. In that game, Moss had four catches for 24 yards. In Week 11 at Gillete Stadium, Moss had five catches for 34 yards. These are not good numbers for a fantasy wide out. In fact, Andre Johnson put up similar numbers like this in Week One of 2010 and all AJ owners (including me) were super pissed about this. I still think Johnson will be the best wide receiver in 2010, but that doesn't mean he'll put up #1 wide out numbers every single week.
And speaking of the #1 overall wide out of 2009, when Johnson went up against Revis in Week One, Andre had four catches for 35 yards. Here are some other big name wide outs who had good fantasy years who went up against Darrelle Revis:
Week Four: Marques Colston (2 catches for 33 yards)
Week Six: Terrell Owens (3 catches for 13 yards)
Week Ten: Mike Sims-Walker (3 catches for 49 yards)
Week Twelve: Steve Smith (CAR): (1 catch for 5 yards)
Revis' awesomeness is extremely well documented. In fact, Nate Ravitz (Jets fan and a member of the aforementioned Fantasy Focus podcast) wrote a great article last year about Revis.
But Sexy Rexy, didn't you watch last week's MNF game and see Anquan Boldin go off for 7 receptions for 110 yards? Very valid point, and considering Joe Flacco just looked OK and the Ravens number one wide out had awesome fantasy numbers, why wouldn't you start Moss?
The difference between Boldin and the other receivers I mentioned is the type of receiver Boldin is compared to the receivers that Moss and Johnson are.
In last week's Ravens/Jets game, Boldin was mainly used in the slot whereas Derrick Mason played on the edge of Revis' side and T.J. Houshmandzadeh mainly played on Antonio Cromartie's side. And do you want to see Mason's numbers last week? 2 catches for 21 yards.
That is why I am predicting a very good game for Wes Welker, who I believe will be used very very similarly to how Boldin was used in Week One. Both Welker and Boldin are slot guys with high catch rates who love to run after the catch. I think Moss will be played on Revis whereas Welker will be played on a linebacker or safety- and NOT Darrelle Revis.
This week, I ranked Randy Moss as my 39th best wide receiver. So in a ten team league, I don't think Moss is a starter. Now on my list I also ranked Williams at the 40th best, but you know what, I'm willing to take that risk. If Mike Williams has a bad game, then I think he and Moss will put up similar numbers. But if Mike Williams goes off, then I look like a genius! Yes, because of the talent of Moss and the genius of Belichick, Moss could end up with a great day. But I really don't think he will. I'm also willing to take that "risk".
The point is, I think all Randy Moss owners should bench him this week. I know it's a bold and gutsy call and it hurts you in your heart, but I think it will pay off for you when you see how well the receiver you start does as opposed to Moss.
It's not that I'm super in love with Mike Williams, it's that I'm not going to start any deep threat against the Jets and Revis Island.
In this league I only have four wide outs (Devin Aromashodu along with White, Moss, and Williams) and I'm absolutely not starting Moss.
The logic I hear for starting Moss facing Revis (mainly from the Fantasy Focus podcast) is that Moss is still an awesome talent, I think he'll be a top 3 wide out at the end of the year, and I drafted Moss to do awesome things for my team. But you know what, all I care at the end of the day is the fantasy points a guy puts up for me. I don't care about name brand or the numbers I think a player will put up in the future when I'm doing a start and sit for each individual week. All I care about is how I think a player will perform in that particular week.
In 2009, the Patriots faced the Jets in Week Two in the Meadowlands. In that game, Moss had four catches for 24 yards. In Week 11 at Gillete Stadium, Moss had five catches for 34 yards. These are not good numbers for a fantasy wide out. In fact, Andre Johnson put up similar numbers like this in Week One of 2010 and all AJ owners (including me) were super pissed about this. I still think Johnson will be the best wide receiver in 2010, but that doesn't mean he'll put up #1 wide out numbers every single week.
And speaking of the #1 overall wide out of 2009, when Johnson went up against Revis in Week One, Andre had four catches for 35 yards. Here are some other big name wide outs who had good fantasy years who went up against Darrelle Revis:
Week Four: Marques Colston (2 catches for 33 yards)
Week Six: Terrell Owens (3 catches for 13 yards)
Week Ten: Mike Sims-Walker (3 catches for 49 yards)
Week Twelve: Steve Smith (CAR): (1 catch for 5 yards)
Revis' awesomeness is extremely well documented. In fact, Nate Ravitz (Jets fan and a member of the aforementioned Fantasy Focus podcast) wrote a great article last year about Revis.
But Sexy Rexy, didn't you watch last week's MNF game and see Anquan Boldin go off for 7 receptions for 110 yards? Very valid point, and considering Joe Flacco just looked OK and the Ravens number one wide out had awesome fantasy numbers, why wouldn't you start Moss?
The difference between Boldin and the other receivers I mentioned is the type of receiver Boldin is compared to the receivers that Moss and Johnson are.
In last week's Ravens/Jets game, Boldin was mainly used in the slot whereas Derrick Mason played on the edge of Revis' side and T.J. Houshmandzadeh mainly played on Antonio Cromartie's side. And do you want to see Mason's numbers last week? 2 catches for 21 yards.
That is why I am predicting a very good game for Wes Welker, who I believe will be used very very similarly to how Boldin was used in Week One. Both Welker and Boldin are slot guys with high catch rates who love to run after the catch. I think Moss will be played on Revis whereas Welker will be played on a linebacker or safety- and NOT Darrelle Revis.
This week, I ranked Randy Moss as my 39th best wide receiver. So in a ten team league, I don't think Moss is a starter. Now on my list I also ranked Williams at the 40th best, but you know what, I'm willing to take that risk. If Mike Williams has a bad game, then I think he and Moss will put up similar numbers. But if Mike Williams goes off, then I look like a genius! Yes, because of the talent of Moss and the genius of Belichick, Moss could end up with a great day. But I really don't think he will. I'm also willing to take that "risk".
The point is, I think all Randy Moss owners should bench him this week. I know it's a bold and gutsy call and it hurts you in your heart, but I think it will pay off for you when you see how well the receiver you start does as opposed to Moss.
Wes Welker vs. Randy Moss
For a list of who deserved to go to the Pro Bowl on offense and special teams, click here
For the second straight year, Wes Welker makes it to the Pro Browl and his compatriot Randy Moss does not. This boggles my mind. Again, Randy Moss leads the AFC in receiving TDs and again, Wes Welker is towards the bottom. The problem with these two receivers is that they have completely different running styles that it makes it hard to compare the two. Welker is a possession receiver and Moss is a deep threat, thus there numbers are going to look a lot different.
Welker is Tom Brady's "go-to guy"- which essentially means that if Brady doesn't have a receiver to throw to, he then will "dump" off the pass to Welker just to gain a few yards. The problem with this type of receiver is that 1) it inflates their receptions and catch rate and 2) it decreases their TDs. So when you look to see that Welker leads the league is receptions (122) and catch rate (76%), it looks pretty darn good. Add to that that Welker is second in the league in yards, it looks damn impressive. However, when the vast majority of the passes thrown your way are dump off passes over the middle, one would expect you to top the league in receptions and TDs. The same logic for Welker is the same logic for why QBs in a West Coast offense look so good. It's easier to have a high completion percentage when all your doing is tossing the ball of to your running back. In fact, this is evidence by Welker's extremely low YPR ranking 85th between Fred Davis and Antwaan Randle El.
But at the same time, Welker shouldn't be punished for doing his job so damn well either. Sure, Welker is only a possession receiver, but he's the best in the game at it. And sure he only gets dump off passes, but he's the top wide out in getting Yards After Catch. So the vast majority of those yards he's generating, are mostly because of him. Welker is also 2nd in DYAR (total value) and 13th in DVOA (value per play), both if which is better than Randy Moss. And when you watch him play, you can tell how valuable he is. Despite being a short yardage possession guy, he still generates double teams. This frees up space on the field for a guy like Moss to get open. And when teams take Welker out of the picture, Brady and the Pats tend to not have good games. A crude and brief look at Welker's and Brady's fantasy points help show this. Weeks 15, 12, and 2 were Welker's lowest scoring weeks. Those weeks also coincided with Brady's lowest scoring weeks and a Pats loss.
On the other hand, Moss also shouldn't be punished for doing what we does so well. While Welker is a possession receiver, Moss is a deep threat guy. Which means you should expect these players to have must lower receptions and catch rates than possession guys and much higher TD totals. Moss leads the AFC in TDs and 4th in the AFC in DYAR (total value).
However, this year, Moss is actually the 5th best receiver in the AFC, which means that he actually SHOULD be the odd man out. This year, Vincent Jackson, Wes Welker, Reggie Wayne, and Andre Johnson all have better overall numbers than Moss. Moss is 5th in the AFC in yards, 6th in first downs, 5th in plays of 20+ yards, and 7th in receptions.
So who is the better receiver, this year it's Wes Welker. But either way, Moss is a guaranteed HOFer and should absolutely be a Pro Bowler over Brandon Marshall this year.
For the second straight year, Wes Welker makes it to the Pro Browl and his compatriot Randy Moss does not. This boggles my mind. Again, Randy Moss leads the AFC in receiving TDs and again, Wes Welker is towards the bottom. The problem with these two receivers is that they have completely different running styles that it makes it hard to compare the two. Welker is a possession receiver and Moss is a deep threat, thus there numbers are going to look a lot different.
Welker is Tom Brady's "go-to guy"- which essentially means that if Brady doesn't have a receiver to throw to, he then will "dump" off the pass to Welker just to gain a few yards. The problem with this type of receiver is that 1) it inflates their receptions and catch rate and 2) it decreases their TDs. So when you look to see that Welker leads the league is receptions (122) and catch rate (76%), it looks pretty darn good. Add to that that Welker is second in the league in yards, it looks damn impressive. However, when the vast majority of the passes thrown your way are dump off passes over the middle, one would expect you to top the league in receptions and TDs. The same logic for Welker is the same logic for why QBs in a West Coast offense look so good. It's easier to have a high completion percentage when all your doing is tossing the ball of to your running back. In fact, this is evidence by Welker's extremely low YPR ranking 85th between Fred Davis and Antwaan Randle El.
But at the same time, Welker shouldn't be punished for doing his job so damn well either. Sure, Welker is only a possession receiver, but he's the best in the game at it. And sure he only gets dump off passes, but he's the top wide out in getting Yards After Catch. So the vast majority of those yards he's generating, are mostly because of him. Welker is also 2nd in DYAR (total value) and 13th in DVOA (value per play), both if which is better than Randy Moss. And when you watch him play, you can tell how valuable he is. Despite being a short yardage possession guy, he still generates double teams. This frees up space on the field for a guy like Moss to get open. And when teams take Welker out of the picture, Brady and the Pats tend to not have good games. A crude and brief look at Welker's and Brady's fantasy points help show this. Weeks 15, 12, and 2 were Welker's lowest scoring weeks. Those weeks also coincided with Brady's lowest scoring weeks and a Pats loss.
On the other hand, Moss also shouldn't be punished for doing what we does so well. While Welker is a possession receiver, Moss is a deep threat guy. Which means you should expect these players to have must lower receptions and catch rates than possession guys and much higher TD totals. Moss leads the AFC in TDs and 4th in the AFC in DYAR (total value).
However, this year, Moss is actually the 5th best receiver in the AFC, which means that he actually SHOULD be the odd man out. This year, Vincent Jackson, Wes Welker, Reggie Wayne, and Andre Johnson all have better overall numbers than Moss. Moss is 5th in the AFC in yards, 6th in first downs, 5th in plays of 20+ yards, and 7th in receptions.
So who is the better receiver, this year it's Wes Welker. But either way, Moss is a guaranteed HOFer and should absolutely be a Pro Bowler over Brandon Marshall this year.
