It has been discussed and believed here at GOI that predictions are worthless. They are not to be trusted, anyone can make them with little to no justification, and they will probably be wrong. With that being said, they sure are fun to read and write and you can brag about 1% of the time when you're right
AL MVP
Winner: Alex Rodriguez (NYY). The guy hit 30 HR and 100 RBIs after missing the first couple months or so last year. The Yankees lineup is amazing as always and A-Rod is amazing so he'll put up the HR and RBI numbers needed to please baseball writers and of course put up the OBP and OPS.
Runner-Up: Kevin Youkilis (BOS). He's been in the top four in OPS the past two years and he plays for the Red Sox. This means he'll be credited for the Sox success and because he's good, he'll get votes.
Dark Horse: Carlos Quentin (CWS). He would have won the 2008 AL MVP had he not gotten injured and hit 29 HR in 399 ABs last year. He'll be awesome if healthy and if healthy put up great number. But that's a huge, huge, huge "if".
NL MVP
Winner: Hanley Rameriz (FLA). To be honest I don't know why I think Hanley over Pujols. But with the recent MVPs of Rollins and Pedroia, baseball writers are still not afraid to vote in power AND speed guys and I think Hanley needs his due. Plus, I think the Marlins will be more in the race this year and thus the general public will be more aware of the Marlins which will help Hanley's stock.
Runner-Up: Albert Pujols (STL). Do I really need a justification? Dude'll probably win it three years in a row though.
Dark Horse: Adrian Gonzalez (SD). A Gon has increased his walks, home runs, and ISO the past four years. I think he gets traded which will only boost his already great numbers. But he's at a huge disadvantage because he's probably considered the 4th best first baseman in the NL (behind Pujols, Fielder, and Howard), he plays in a small market team if he doesn't get trades, and if he does get traded- he'll probably go to an AL team.
AL Cy Young
Winner: Felix Hernandez (SEA). The vast majority of the best (rather the guys with the best "numbers") now play in the NL so it's not like Hernandez has much competition, but he's young, developed, plays most of his games in pitcher friendly parks (SAFECO and Oakland Colosseum), with a great defense. And who's his competition? Grienke? Sabathia? Please.
Runner-Up: Jon Lester (BOS). OK, well Lester will be King Felix's biggest competitor this year. Lester will be a top five pitcher and has the Red Sox love that baseball writers fawn over.
Dark Horse: Gavin Floyd (CWS). I truly believe the White Sox will be in the AL Central race all year (and with Nathan going out this only helps the Sox's chances in the weakest division in baseball) and I also believe that Floyd will be the best pitcher on the team which is why I think Floyd will have a good Cy Young candidate year.
NL Cy Young
Winner: Tim Lincecum (SFG). Like I really need a justification for this one as well. But in case you've been living under a rock the past two years, he's decreased his ERA, WHIP, FIP, xFIP, FB%, and BB/9 the past three years. He by far was the best pitcher in the NL last year and he's only 25 right now.
Runner-Up: Josh Johnson (FLA). For absolutely no logical reason I don't like Roy Halladay (even though he probably will have more wins and a better ERA and WHIP because he's moving to the NL), I don't think Chris Carpenter will stay healthy, I don't think Adam Wainwright will be as good as he was last year, Dan Haren will "fall off" in the second half which will hurt his Cy Young chances, I don't think Johan Santana will stay healthy or that the Mets will be any good this year, and Yovani Gallardo is not quite there yet. So by default I give the runner up to Johnson. Plus, Johnson has increased his K/9 the past three years, decreased his FIP, xFIP, ERA, and WHIP. Plus, I think the Marlins will at least be in the race essentially all year which will help Johnson's chances like it will Hanley's.
Dark Horse: Tommy Hanson (ATL). The guy is awesome and will have a long great career (assuming health of course). But it's really hard to win a Cy Young in your first full year being a starter.
Note, again, a lot of these predictions are just based upon my own personal predictions and not really based on fact. Plus, there will always be a guy like Grienke last year or Pedroia/Hamilton/Quentin from two years ago that will come out of nowhere, have a great season and be in the running for an MVP or Cy Young that rarely anyone considered at the beginning of the season.
Worthless 2010 Baseball Predictions
Posted by
Adam Kaplan
on Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Labels:
Sports Predictions
2 comments:
Josh Johnson as runner up? Hardly. Try Dan Haren. It will be his year. Or Hamels. Mark my words.
YOU'RE SO DUMB, JOHNSON IS THE BEST PITCHER EVER! Yeah whatever dude, I based these "predictions" upon what I felt. Like how Steve Phillips knows talent based on his "eye"
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